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Photo: John Wilson, Marine Traffic Trade intelligence said the latest vessel discharged malting barley, and possible wheat and feed barley, at a Brisbane River facility last week, with Newcastle its last port of call. This follows the arrival of a 23,000-tonne cargo of South Australian barley into Brisbane in November. ACCB broker, Andy Cunliffe, said values for wheat in southern track markets were “very close” to working into Brisbane by sea. “I haven’t heard anything concrete, but if you can get wheat at port in Adelaide or Thevenard for $220-$230/tonne, and add $100-$110t to get it to Brisbane where the stockfeed market is bid at $330/t, the trade should be able to bring wheat around by ship. “It’s people with their own ports that a likely to be doing it to get some value out of their grain-handling systems.” Mr Cunliffe said GrainCorp’s 2016 harvest summary , where Victoria delivered significantly more grain than NSW into its system, was telling. “What feeds Queensland’s grain requirement if NSW doesn’t?” Mr Cunliffe said wheat delivered March on southern Queensland’s Darling Downs was trading at around $328/t, which equated to about US$268/ delivered March. “That’s a pretty good number, and it shows the Downs market has reached import parity into Brisbane. The Darling Downs is an expensive interior market.” Stock Feed Manufacturers’ Council of Australia chairman, David Bray, shared Mr Cunliffe’s view that wheat shipped from southern parts would be forward sold to end users. “People are not going to bring it up on spec, but it’s getting to the point where pricing for road delivery into southeast Queensland is too expensive, and we’ll have to start sourcing grain from probably South Australia,” he said. “There is some talk Brisbane mortgage broker website here of shipments, because once you get to a $40-$50/t difference between southern and northern markets, it starts to add up.” Trade sources said they believed growers and possibly traders were holding large stocks of grain on farm in the belief that values could only rally, especially in the face of lacklustre yield prospects for a chunk of Queensland’s sorghum crop.
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